Analyses | Digital values
The northeast Brazil rainfall index is calculated from data for Fortaleza (3.7S, 38.5W) and Quixeramobim (5.3S, 39.3W) Brazil obtained from the NCAR World Monthly Surface Station Climatology.
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Fortaleza 1109 1690 3019 3403 2434 1280 778 239 206 132 189 348 Quixeramobim 648 1037 1683 1705 1265 612 374 86 23 21 64 169Standard deviation of monthly rainfall (in 0.1 mm) for Fortaleza and Quixerabmobim (1950-79):
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Fortaleza 860 1439 1364 1372 1405 1003 823 341 198 109 276 425 Quixeramobim 612 1164 844 746 645 695 413 120 34 35 144 260
To calculate the index, both the Fortaleza and Quixeramobim time series are standardized by calendar month with respect to the period 1950-79. This calculation removes the seasonal cycle of the mean and standard deviation for each series. The standardized series are then averaged together, and standardized again. This series is called the Fortaleza Quixeramobim index (FQI). Northeast Brazil rainfall is most commonly discussed in terms of the average conditions during the wet season, February through May. February through May (FMAM) averages are employed in the following figures, and the FMAM-averages are standardized with respect to the period 1950-79.
February through May averages of the FQI:
Historical record: 1849-2002
PostScript | JPEG
The series exhibits both year to year and decadal variability.
Modern record: 1950-2002:
PostScript | JPEG
The 1950s were dry, and the years beginning in 1997 have been
near-normal or dry.
February through May averages of Fortaleza precipitation (cm/month) 1950-2002
Digital values
+0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1840 121 1850 -140 130 -5 -36 17 32 106 97 -19 -30 1860 68 -84 41 -5 -43 -97 305 -119 -75 54 1870 83 -59 131 108 2 68 73 -240 -186 -186 1880 41 -14 -77 55 -51 4 17 20 -168 -151 1890 69 -62 -81 -51 215 202 144 97 -109 143 1900 -188 -4 -138 -180 -99 -81 58 -162 -153 -69 1910 155 -95 161 102 -25 -203 -18 133 -67 -226 1920 65 175 132 -13 173 -2 64 18 -60 -1 1930 -129 -77 -168 -69 171 42 -10 -30 45 58 1940 72 -92 -150 -101 -19 41 -19 67 -13 76 1950 35 -164 11 -98 -100 -32 -96 4 -190 -28 1960 -3 69 -40 97 199 -1 -24 166 -41 68 1970 -66 8 -108 201 197 20 3 11 -1 -95 1980 -35 -24 -68 -145 136 165 194 -61 44 52 1990 -102 39 -67 -186 68 137 31 -13 -190 -4 2000 9 -78 35Monthly values * 100
jan feb mar apr may jun jul aug sep oct nov dec 1849 -27 -11 -71 303 118 202 44 -13 -110 -98 -64 -90 1850 -76 -32 -199 -76 -83 3 -32 -79 -52 -134 -87 -33 1851 -79 255 -63 60 111 -35 -24 -69 -122 -134 -41 106 1852 -38 35 23 -76 5 13 -92 -79 -122 -98 -69 106 1853 -125 -112 7 43 -38 34 -57 17 -29 -2 -27 10 1854 -119 20 -167 69 126 299 -51 -73 -99 -110 -78 -90 1855 -138 -91 118 227 -164 -117 -78 -79 -110 -38 -69 137 1856 11 152 12 248 -115 -95 -72 -46 -35 202 52 167 1857 -67 82 -39 147 82 127 -72 -79 -64 -98 -78 -93 1858 -125 -18 -210 15 159 -47 -61 203 285 -14 144 261 1859 -82 54 -49 -114 26 127 -40 14 -52 -14 -83 -105 1860 -94 105 -17 5 98 15 49 20 -70 46 -87 110 1861 278 -53 -104 34 -111 -51 -99 -46 -64 -110 -36 584 1862 -49 96 82 -102 39 -11 -96 -10 -104 -50 24 -93 1863 -99 31 -111 92 -27 153 -47 -23 -64 -98 15 -42 1864 -95 52 -115 27 -85 -79 -27 -10 -104 -86 -60 -87 1865 -82 -48 -175 -90 44 82 -27 34 227 933 -32 -90 1866 -113 -28 285 254 339 143 -61 -79 -87 285 28 -54 1867 -125 -82 -42 -146 -62 0 -92 -30 -81 -158 -78 -81 1868 96 -9 -63 -29 -109 9 -63 70 24 214 -74 -5 1869 -73 142 40 -123 90 -79 -40 14 -122 82 -78 -87 1870 -11 -8 155 59 26 -38 -103 -79 -93 369 -69 34 1871 -99 -103 10 -39 -32 -55 213 17 76 190 -78 424 1872 47 194 217 -120 75 147 72 37 169 -26 -83 164 1873 246 90 104 74 35 38 -105 -79 -110 -146 357 76 1874 -95 68 47 -104 -5 100 -38 17 -29 -2 -27 10 1875 -138 5 70 27 88 -52 -31 -79 -70 -134 344 58 1876 -58 -21 98 -43 169 -47 -32 -56 -104 154 15 -102 1877 -108 -117 -179 -260 -114 -48 -46 73 -6 -158 -50 -105 1878 -89 -68 -168 -241 -41 -134 -69 -79 -122 -134 -87 -105 1879 -57 -93 -107 -219 -103 -110 -105 -30 -58 190 -18 -69 1880 -119 -108 -89 269 41 -25 69 14 53 -26 -41 28 1881 -118 -47 -98 60 46 36 138 73 -99 -158 -87 -57 1882 -6 -106 -113 -20 23 70 64 -36 -64 -158 -87 -60 1883 130 21 70 175 -113 -79 -105 -79 -99 -122 -78 -105 1884 -98 -113 38 -15 -54 -93 -96 4 -52 58 52 -69 1885 -138 -78 -112 226 -24 -50 6 -69 163 106 -60 -57 1886 63 -61 180 -55 -17 -72 -95 7 -87 -98 -32 -75 1887 35 -73 116 104 -90 -88 -101 -16 -116 -122 -87 -105 1888 -67 -51 -155 -125 -138 -18 -32 -23 -122 -122 -87 -72 1889 -89 -48 -70 -240 -62 -3 -105 -56 -35 34 -87 -15 1890 -36 -24 158 -9 68 -109 -21 -50 -52 -50 -74 16 1891 -33 -93 -121 -26 68 -82 -63 43 -87 -110 19 -105 1892 -125 -47 -174 86 -91 -11 -57 -10 18 46 -69 539 1893 241 47 -24 -131 -34 -75 -88 -43 -17 34 -60 224 1894 278 102 90 418 -8 147 -72 -69 -87 34 218 -42 1895 -109 -7 248 111 212 146 253 133 70 202 204 -72 1896 -49 -41 210 149 82 -55 12 217 341 -40 -34 -89 1897 -22 65 50 11 146 77 50 78 -14 6 -7 -88 1898 -114 -12 -159 -85 -49 -90 -100 -74 -81 -99 -61 109 1899 -9 228 226 73 -128 60 80 424 -66 -63 -57 -80 1900 -33 -44 -192 -256 -32 -70 -53 -37 -90 -105 -72 636 1901 -83 56 76 -81 -61 -32 9 -67 93 242 -7 -84 1902 -31 -88 -114 -113 -71 -92 -38 32 -69 -3 -57 -59 1903 64 -48 -99 -194 -163 -83 -78 -77 -64 -105 -58 -71 1904 -88 -48 18 -163 -84 -50 1 221 -17 -46 -71 -73 1905 -78 -61 105 -146 -125 -76 -92 -34 120 56 -65 -81 1906 -109 73 -27 -6 122 -34 -82 -48 -90 -64 -61 -84 1907 -71 -2 -143 -148 -158 -66 -46 67 -52 118 -50 -93 1908 -73 -62 -101 -120 -146 -76 -35 -9 -64 150 -36 -82 1909 -69 33 -182 123 -166 -109 -103 -66 -100 -117 -26 138 1910 82 60 146 48 179 -69 -75 -80 -96 -10 41 397 1911 143 -45 67 -165 -122 -100 5 92 -55 -34 -72 40 1912 77 207 130 66 47 47 -75 25 26 -81 -68 -91 1913 -34 233 48 -8 11 11 -46 15 20 -14 -38 84 1914 121 2 -66 2 -6 47 0 508 -69 173 -47 -89 1915 -101 -46 -188 -157 -174 -95 -103 -64 -93 -117 -58 87 1916 -8 -41 79 -39 -49 78 -102 -71 -84 -117 9 326 1917 451 56 116 79 121 -7 -64 -44 -15 -114 163 179 1918 2 2 -77 -131 18 -6 -27 270 148 -117 -40 -21 1919 26 -86 -169 -213 -163 -72 -30 43 78 -87 -44 -87 1920 -110 -75 116 83 57 -15 29 -66 197 176 8 152 1921 15 240 68 11 170 -36 135 -68 66 -66 343 -46 1922 -78 -82 38 296 117 30 193 69 -17 -105 181 -40 1923 -70 118 -35 4 -123 -30 -8 -69 -64 -78 -53 -81 1924 -30 78 234 129 43 114 -74 56 -3 68 -9 100 1925 82 20 27 20 -74 -86 -77 -46 10 -38 -10 -71 1926 -37 56 92 51 -20 -49 -75 -80 -101 30 -32 -88 1927 -61 -19 -22 149 -57 -57 -26 -77 -81 -66 -30 -26 1928 -34 -82 65 -64 -87 -55 -95 -75 -20 76 -49 -58 1929 -72 90 -50 -54 12 -32 -35 -73 -61 78 -33 4 1930 9 -53 -94 -38 -176 -4 -48 -66 -90 58 -62 -15 1931 -4 41 -39 -74 -145 -60 -74 -23 68 -1 -63 -31 1932 -8 6 -131 -173 -171 -49 -69 -21 347 -54 -67 -65 1933 16 -39 -53 42 -141 -102 -73 -64 -78 -22 -11 -47 1934 62 90 287 -8 108 -19 -102 -55 17 -87 85 188 1935 50 95 -18 101 -61 4 -45 -31 -5 -41 -51 -48 1936 -88 41 -5 -182 117 33 -39 -71 -58 -75 -54 -66 1937 -121 29 -134 -38 59 31 1 4 67 16 -35 -58 1938 -13 -78 159 124 -79 9 -76 -44 -55 -52 30 -63 1939 -77 163 78 -49 -28 -39 -16 -57 447 395 160 -86 1940 -18 -14 34 98 83 44 -47 42 49 2 -60 -37 1941 -113 -9 -32 -76 -138 -70 -7 6 -96 -90 -55 -56 1942 -96 -54 -95 -133 -138 -92 -94 -12 -101 61 -40 133 1943 -78 -51 -55 -78 -99 -66 -40 191 437 -111 -11 2 1944 -23 -72 52 46 -80 -65 -34 -45 -88 -81 -64 76 1945 72 113 -93 8 86 43 71 -26 -51 -50 -1 -23 1946 155 76 -47 41 -123 -31 -90 -65 -46 636 -65 191 1947 -37 9 130 43 5 -66 -65 -76 138 -73 354 226 1948 -92 -80 99 -46 -9 48 -36 -11 37 18 -65 -87 1949 -103 -29 53 5 181 45 -79 102 138 -93 210 -88 1950 -30 -38 82 81 -26 -106 -74 -34 -18 -45 -18 -63 1951 -105 -94 -203 -42 -121 85 -74 -80 -101 -98 109 88 1952 -60 -54 111 20 -46 -96 -84 -37 -87 -8 -59 -30 1953 -80 -73 -119 13 -96 -31 -95 -31 -20 -33 -63 -75 1954 -63 -7 -77 -142 -54 -46 -93 -60 -81 -92 -43 -82 1955 7 -44 -74 28 1 -87 -83 -23 -9 131 -33 57 1956 -87 13 -22 -102 -158 -87 -46 163 -69 -68 -47 -72 1957 -9 -95 83 122 -100 -95 -72 -35 -5 9 -68 -44 1958 -101 -93 -188 -217 -32 -56 -12 -45 2 -93 -54 -70 1959 78 -6 33 -92 -14 -38 -98 -36 -32 -50 -45 -63 1960 -115 -99 152 -9 -52 -62 -46 -66 -67 22 -63 -38 1961 62 142 6 2 42 -73 33 -80 -55 -87 -49 11 1962 -66 -42 25 -37 -60 -32 -32 -29 7 -74 -18 154 1963 78 68 207 132 -138 -56 -91 -59 -84 -104 60 329 1964 253 166 120 161 109 -14 37 108 208 -26 -60 -68 1965 29 -110 -70 139 36 252 -45 -34 -62 -23 -65 -70 1966 -100 -10 -81 8 15 12 91 -54 28 -105 3 -23 1967 -89 143 76 82 164 0 40 -22 30 -11 -60 -34 1968 216 -55 -15 -86 41 -82 16 106 -82 142 -15 -16 1969 27 -69 155 6 97 45 156 13 -45 2 -69 -88 1970 40 -56 -31 66 -165 -63 -73 -14 -89 -52 83 -47 1971 76 8 -18 -70 102 108 177 20 59 62 -29 -46 1972 -65 -64 -103 -85 -48 50 -26 443 -87 -69 -63 207 1973 -10 345 15 157 45 89 267 7 105 220 -1 -63 1974 216 38 65 159 288 48 -36 -7 320 280 11 113 1975 26 -25 58 -25 49 156 163 -18 -9 4 -42 114 1976 -81 75 10 -15 -62 -74 -77 -43 16 29 30 -63 1977 88 -24 -9 -3 67 292 131 -21 -81 14 21 78 1978 -64 103 -110 -98 101 -15 122 -45 169 188 373 -13 1979 -71 -47 -79 -156 15 -24 -74 12 139 -63 274 -79 1980 23 203 35 -165 -171 16 -62 -26 -34 -117 -21 -46 1981 -4 -48 326 -194 -152 -89 -102 -70 -101 -117 -61 995 1982 -18 -27 -90 -43 -31 -54 -59 84 -43 148 732 -50 1983 -107 24 -70 -204 -155 -71 -71 -52 21 -72 4 1984 -12 -10 38 214 138 111 68 68 86 128 -65 -73 1985 134 130 94 272 -34 40 156 76 28 -25 -35 395 1986 -19 101 113 250 77 116 -40 228 658 41 79 35 1987 -73 -26 50 -18 -176 112 -40 -67 -46 -20 -70 -22 1988 72 -16 88 -6 57 67 12 -60 -14 4 28 212 1989 50 -87 2 94 138 105 179 83 -81 74 -54 334 1990 -88 -22 -172 -20 -36 23 -30 88 14 -23 34 1991 65 -29 187 -2 -46 -78 -92 699 -72 238 191 -91 1992 -46 58 -42 -55 -149 -13 -77 -13 -75 -69 -56 -85 1993 -74 -48 -130 -191 -151 -60 21 -27 6 -56 -60 -70 1994 31 45 95 2 302 -23 -72 -53 -37 1995 -64 30 194 63 11 -79 -101 95 -67 1996 84 -90 63 106 7 -93 -71 140 -66 57 5 -57 1997 -72 -57 -18 82 -43 -100 -78 96 293 -44 32 37 1998 60 -76 -189 -85 -77 13 -87 -64 -67 1999 41 -4 -6 0 -70 -69 -70 78 11 9 85 2000 92 -28 -12 112 -47 3 49 440 733 -122 -27 -9 2001 0 14 -18 -120 -94 97 -25 -79 -87 -26 5 12 2002 408 -47 -15 198 -39