EOF 1 (ENSO) | EOF 2 (trend)
Analysis by Aiguo Dai, Inez Y. Fung, and Anthony D. Del Genio
Modern Record: 1950-88
The "modern record" is just the last 39 years of the "historical record"
principal component, with the anomalies calculated with respect to 1950-88.
The principal component (time series): values * 1000
+0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1900 87 -27 142 25 6 209 14 -5 -22 -129 1910 -205 27 96 34 149 122 -129 -295 -25 210 1920 -50 -147 39 24 -152 -29 77 19 10 -67 1930 58 17 21 -117 -162 0 -50 4 -68 -88 1940 130 197 2 -72 37 -11 31 -53 7 -44 1950 -158 30 -57 -34 -133 -173 -212 63 57 13 1960 1 13 -105 -42 -58 126 57 -25 11 52 1970 32 -54 127 -4 -142 -93 -59 100 18 66 1980 66 51 198 154 97 51 112 165 -80
EOF 2 (4.8% variance explained)
The principal component (time series): values * 1000
+0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1900 -36 -213 -154 -41 -124 -102 -75 -113 -124 -119 1910 -175 -180 -62 -102 -84 -113 -85 -161 -180 -14 1920 -143 -113 -61 -57 -183 -97 -50 -33 -99 -119 1930 -56 -23 -19 -10 -86 -28 -91 -65 -73 -39 1940 -24 4 -4 -36 -25 39 -13 -31 -8 -3 1950 52 -7 -13 -10 3 8 35 52 72 59 1960 20 80 38 14 44 6 102 91 72 55 1970 110 60 42 213 135 154 69 155 163 137 1980 103 171 164 250 182 90 104 58 106
The gridded precipitation data set:
Reference
Dai, A., I. Y. Fung, and A. D. Del Genio, 1997: Surface observed global land
precipitation variations during 1900-1988. J. Climate,
10, 2943-2962.